METR finds Anthropic's AI-assisted R&D is doubling model improvement pace year over year
METR ran an 11-week investigation into how Anthropic uses AI in its own development work. It found that the automation is accelerating model improvement at roughly 2x year over year. The result has alarmed safety researchers.
This is third-party evidence that recursive-improvement dynamics are showing up in a production lab, not just in theory. Safety timelines and eval cadences built on a constant rate of progress now look too slow.