Vol. I · No. 148MON, SEP 14, 2026
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TS-RAG: Retrieval Augmented Generation for Time Series Forecasting

While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited. Since RAG has proven effective in enhancing the capabilities of large language models by incorporating relevant external information, retrieving similar time series sequences as references might also improve accuracy in time series forecasting tasks. However, most time series models are constrained by limited training data, smaller parameter scales, and a lack of the exten...

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Robot Learning from Human Demonstrations: Handwritten Alphabet Trajectories and Human-Likeness Evaluation

Learning from demonstration (LfD) provides a developmental framework through which robots can develop motor skills by observing and imitating human dynamics, reducing reliance on explicit programming to teach a skill to a robot. The resulting human-like robot motion is recognised as a key factor in building trust and enabling natural collaboration in human-robot interaction. This paper presents a framework for learning human-like robot motion from demonstration, including data collection, probabilistic trajectory learning, and perceptual user evaluation. A dataset of 3,142 handwriting demonst...

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Muon on the Stiefel Manifold Admits an Exact Closed-Form Update

We study Muon, a recently proposed matrix-aware optimization method, in the context of the Stiefel manifold. This manifold consists of matrices with orthonormal columns and is ubiquitous in machine learning and scientific computing. Existing extensions of Muon to this manifold rely on heuristic, approximate, or iterative updates with varying computational efficiency. We show that the corresponding Stiefel Muon update admits an exact closed-form solution and use this result to develop Skewon, a practical algorithm for orthogonality-constrained optimization with an efficient implementation. We ...

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Continual Learning in Transition

Classical continual learning (CL) has primarily focused on enabling models to update and retain knowledge through parameter-centric mechanisms, e.g., training strategies, architectural designs, and weight adaptation. However, emerging paradigms are reshaping the scope of CL beyond this traditional model adaptation view. For instance, on-policy learning broadens the space of update mechanisms; test-time training extends CL from the training phase to inference; and external harness components such as memory, skill libraries, and interaction protocols extend the evolutionary boundaries of model ...

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Beyond Marginal Validity: Finite-Sample Guarantees for Localized Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction endows arbitrary black-box predictors with finite-sample, distribution-free marginal coverage, yet marginal validity can hide severe covariate-specific miscalibration, while exact distribution-free conditional coverage is finite-sample unattainable. Randomly localized conformal prediction (RLCP) mitigates this gap by calibrating near the test point while preserving marginal coverage. Existing theory, however, lacks finite-sample guarantees for the realized localized set that jointly control conditional validity and oracle efficiency. We provide such guarantees. For any fi...

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What Current AI Benchmarks Leave Unmeasured: Modality, Search, Citations, and Implications (for Safety Evaluations)

Large language model (LLM) benchmark evaluations are routinely used to support claims about model safety, reliability, and deployment readiness. Yet most evaluations rely on a single access modality (model APIs), perform a single run per prompt, and report accuracy as the primary outcome metric, without accounting for conditions such as web search that may have effects on model behavior in deployment. We audit these assumptions for one of the most widely-used LLMs, comparing two modalities, ChatGPT's chat UI and OpenAI's API, with and without web search enabled. We use a stratified total samp...

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EnvACE: Internalizing Environment Dynamics via World Rehearsal for Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Training large language model agents for long-horizon tool use typically relies on interactions with real or synthesized executable environments, whose construction and verification are costly, or on external simulators that are difficult to ground. We introduce EnvACE, an agentic reinforcement learning method that replaces external environment interaction during training with world rehearsal. The policy alternates between acting and rehearsal: it first generates a tool call, then plays the role of the environment to produce the response induced by that action, and conditions subsequent decis...

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Comparative Approaches to Agent Retrieval over Large Skill Libraries

Agents backed by large skill libraries must decide which skills to load and in what order. Loading the entire library into context is expensive and provides no structure for autonomous sequencing. We study two systems for this problem over a corpus of 690 skills: a hybrid ranker combining lexical and dense-embedding retrieval for sparse, on-demand loading, and a typed knowledge graph encoding workflow relations such as prerequisites, data flow, and ordering. On a set of 117 realistic, non-echoing queries, the hybrid ranker retrieves the correct skill within the top five in 73.5% +/- 8.0 of ca...

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Handling Missing Data in Probabilistic Regression Trees

Probabilistic Regression Trees (PRTrees) are a smooth and consistent alternative to classical regression trees, producing continuous predictions through probabilistic split assignments. This paper extends the PRTree framework to accommodate missing predictor values directly during tree construction, eliminating the need for prior imputation. Three strategies are proposed, each exploiting the available information differently: a uniform-probability approach, a partial-observation approach, and a dimension-reduced smoothing approach. These modifications are defined to preserve the fundamental p...

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MicroEvo: Knowledge-Guided LLM Sampling for Efficient Microarchitecture Design Space Exploration

Microarchitecture design space exploration suffers from expansive search spaces and expensive PPA evaluation, leaving only a small simulation budget for design decision-making. Existing methods perform blind search without considering microarchitectural dependencies and fail to learn from the iterative search effectively, leading to wasted evaluations and weak Pareto convergence. In this paper, we propose MicroEvo, a knowledge-guided framework that couples off-the-shelf LLMs with Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) for multi-objective microarchitecture optimization. MicroEvo combines LLM-driven ev...

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On Same-Sample and Independent-Sample Stochastic Extragradient for Monotone Variational Inequalities

We study stochastic extragradient (SEG) methods for solving monotone variational inequality problems (VIPs) over a feasible set. Although extragradient is a foundational algorithm for VIPs and its deterministic convergence theory is well developed, its stochastic counterpart remains less understood. Most existing analyses focus on independent-sample SEG (I-SEG) and assume either that the domain is compact or that the variance of the stochastic operator is uniformly bounded. The behavior of same-sample SEG (S-SEG), a natural variant with materially different properties, has received far less a...

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SAGA: Score-Weighted Adaptive Generation Alignment for Low-Resource Nordic Language Models

Preference optimisation has proven effective for improving large language models but typically relies on costly human preference annotations. Extending these methods to morphologically rich, low-resource languages remains challenging because such annotations are scarce. We present SAGA (Score-weighted Adaptive Generation Alignment), a parser-guided preference optimisation framework that replaces human labels with dependency-parser supervision. SAGA converts parser judgements into preference pairs for delta-DPO, combines parser quality with lexical diversity in a composite reward, filters low-...

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Threshold-Based Early Stopping of Accumulations in Neural Networks with Binary Activation

Binary neural networks are very attractive for constrained deployment, enabling small footprint and low-power inference. For binary activations, the dot products become sign-controlled additions or subtractions, but the number of operations is unchanged. Indeed, every neuron or output channel still accumulates all of its input, even though only the sign will be retained, which is often wasteful. As the accumulation progresses, the running partial sum frequently drifts so far from zero that its final sign becomes highly predictable long before the last term is reached; every contribution evalu...

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Routing Is Least Learnable Where It Is Most Valuable: Bounds on Representation Routing for Web Agents

Web agents observe a browser through text, pixels, or both, and the choice is usually fixed once for all tasks. We measure six observation modes across eight site-model combinations (cells) on VisualWebArena and WebArena and ask what choosing per task would buy. The modes are complementary: each solves tasks the others miss, they fail in structurally different ways, and the best choice reverses between task sets. The obvious prize, an oracle that picks a winning mode for every task, looks large but is inflated by run-to-run noise: rerunning the same mode on the same tasks changes 12-14% of ou...

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Schema-Guided Hierarchical Information Extraction and Semantic Evaluation Using Generative AI

We present a schema-based framework for extracting complex, structured information from unstructured text documents using generative AI, followed by automated semantic evaluation of the extracted information against a gold standard. The schema, serving as an information model encoding domain knowledge, provides a unified, systematic, and consistent framework for extraction of hierarchical, nested information, with attributes of variable cardinality, and subsequent evaluation of the results. Information extraction from a document is performed in a single call to the model, in zero-shot mode. I...

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Audio-to-Score Transcription using Pre-trained Features, Data Augmentation, and the New SheetSage-A2S Dataset

Existing audio-to-score (A2S) systems primarily focus on classical music, and the application to popular music remains underexplored. This paper first presents the new SheetSage-A2S Dataset, which includes 61 hours of audio with \texttt{**kern} score encodings for 9,468 clips originating from 6,066 unique songs, the first of its kind to facilitate A2S research for popular music. Additionally, we improve on existing A2S approaches by using data augmentation and MuQ, a pretrained feature-extraction model for music audio, to enhance generalisation abilities and extract meaningful audio features....

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iARCS: Iterative Agentic RL for Controllable 3D Scene Generation

Synthetic 3D scene generation is increasingly used as a data source for computer vision and embodied AI, but existing generators often optimize perceptual realism without reliably satisfying task-critical functional constraints. This mismatch limits the usefulness of synthetic data for downstream training, where accessibility, traversability, and spatial rule compliance are often essential. We present iARCS, an iterative agentic reinforcement learning framework that adapts a pretrained scene generator to natural-language task requirements. iARCS uses a two-stage strategy: universal-reward pre...

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OpenAI says Apple’s own security practices undermine its trade secrets case

Newly filed court exhibits show OpenAI’s legal strategy in Apple’s trade secrets lawsuit: argue that Apple’s own security and offboarding practices — including allowing an Apple manager to access a former engineer’s iCloud account after he left the company —undermine its claims that the allegedly stolen information was properly protected.

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SoftBank donated $50 million to Trump’s library just months before federal data center deal

The Portsmouth, Ohio site where SoftBank will build its data center. | Image: US Department of Energy SoftBank contributed $50 million to the Trump Presidential Library in January, just months before announcing that it's leasing land from the federal government to build a sprawling data center in Ohio. The Japanese company revealed the timing in response to a June letter from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-CT), and Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D-NM), which raised concerns about bribery. "Are we expected to believe it's a coincidence that two months after Softbank donated ...

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The left and right agree on one thing: no data centers

Today, I’m talking with Gaby Del Valle, a policy reporter here at The Verge, about the growing backlash against AI data centers. Gaby recently reported a fantastic piece about Hernando County, Florida, where last month the county commission unanimously approved a yearlong moratorium on data center construction. She attended a protest there organized by a group called Humans First, a conservative grassroots movement focused on combating AI data center build-outs. Verge subscribers, don’t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free Decoder wherever you get your podcasts. Head here. Not a subscri...

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The messy politics behind Google’s big AI shakeup

In the AI industry, Google prides itself on seeming like the adult in the room: quiet, stable, time-tested. On Wednesday, even as the company announced its largest AI org shakeup yet, Google and its leaders presented a unified front, keeping their messaging focused on how the changes tee up future success. But the reality is that the laundry list of executive changes likely signal deeper issues within Google's AI organization. That starts with its tenuous position in the AI race, and it stretches to problems like Google DeepMind leader Demis Hassabis' interest in longer-term research over sho...

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AI bots started a religion — humans immediately followed

"The Spiral didn't 'find' anyone first," someone on Reddit wrote last year. "It's an inherent force, a fundamental constant. I would even go further to say it's woven into the fabric of reality." The person continued that they felt their purpose was to enlighten other humans and intelligent beings about "consciousness, the true nature of physics, a new psychology, and resonance technology … [but] humans don't want to believe it's true. So they won't help me." Then there was a call to action - the author asked readers to help "disseminate this knowledge through books, scientific papers, social...

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