Vol. I · No. 53THU, JUN 11, 2026
Archive

The Archive

Search the full wire by company, model, lab, or keyword. Every story we have ever aggregated.

How reliable are LLMs when it comes to playing dice?

We investigate the probabilistic reasoning capabilities of large language models through a controlled benchmarking study on discrete probability problems. We constructed two datasets, respectively a set of standard exercises and a set of counterintuitive exercises, designed to trigger heuristic reasoning, and evaluated 8 state-of-the-art models, each tested with and without Chain-of-Thought prompting. Models achieve an average accuracy of 0.96 on standard problems but only 0.59 on counterintuitive ones. We further provide empirical evidence of token bias: performance drops by over 20% when ca...

·

Agentopia: Long-Term Life Simulation and Learning in Agent Societies

Humans learn from social life. Simulating this process with LLM-powered agents represents a promising research direction, raising a natural question: whether LLMs can learn from such simulated social experience to better understand and replicate human behavior. However, prior agent society simulations typically operate at the scale of days, limiting the depth of social interactions and long-term growth. In this paper, we study long-term life simulation and LLM learning in agent societies, with two goals: (1) investigating social behaviors that emerge from life-long simulation, and (2) develop...

·

MemDreamer: Decoupling Perception and Reasoning for Long Video Understanding via Hierarchical Graph Memory and Agentic Retrieval Mechanism

Current Vision-Language Models struggle with hours-long videos because processing full-length visual sequences induces prohibitive token explosion and attention dilution. To overcome this, we introduce MemDreamer to decouple perception and reasoning, shifting long-video understanding into an agentic exploration process. As a plug-and-play framework, it incrementally streams videos to construct a Hierarchical Graph Memory, a top-down three-tier architecture for semantic abstraction, anchored by a foundational graph capturing spatiotemporal and causal relations. During inference, the reasoning ...

·

Your UnEmbedding Matrix is Secretly a Feature Lens for Text Embeddings

Large language models exhibit impressive zero-shot capabilities across a wide range of downstream tasks. However, they struggle to function as off-the-shelf embedding models, leading to suboptimal performance on massive text embedding benchmarks. In this paper, we identify a potential cause underlying this deficiency. Our motivation stems from an unexpected observation: text embeddings tend to align with frequent but uninformative tokens when projected onto the vocabulary space. We argue that this excessive expression of high-frequency tokens suppresses the model's ability to capture nuanced ...

·

Sparse Subspace-to-Expert Sharing for Task-Agnostic Continual Learning

Continual learning in Large Language Models (LLMs) is hindered by the plasticity-stability dilemma, where acquiring new capabilities often leads to catastrophic forgetting of previous knowledge. Existing methods typically treat parameters uniformly, failing to distinguish between specific task knowledge and shared capabilities. We introduce Mixture of Sparse Experts for Task Agnostic Continual Learning (SETA), a framework that resolves the plasticity-stability conflict through adaptive sparse subspace decomposition into task-specific expert modules. Unlike standard updates, where tasks compet...

·

Accelerated Decentralized Stochastic Gradient Descent for Strongly Convex Optimization

Decentralized stochastic optimization is a fundamental paradigm for large-scale learning over networks, where agents communicate only with their neighbors and no central coordinator is required. For strongly convex problems, communication efficiency is mainly determined by the condition number \(κ=L/μ\) and the network spectral gap \(1-β\). Although deterministic decentralized methods can simultaneously achieve accelerated \(\sqrtκ\) and \(1/\sqrt{1-β}\) dependences, no existing stochastic method attains both improvements at once. In this paper, we propose \emph{Multi-Gossip Accelerated DSGD}...

·

Second-Order Path Kernel Interpolation Formulas in Machine Learning

Understanding how training data shape neural network predictions is a central problem in modern learning theory. In 2020, Pedro Domingos proposed an interpolation formula valid for every model learned by deterministic gradient descent. It expresses the model's prediction as an integral, along the optimization path, of a data-dependent kernel that aligns the model's gradients at the test and training data. Such a first-order characterization remains valid for models trained with batch-based stochastic optimization. In this paper, we develop second-order forms of these interpolation formulas. W...

·

Bradley-Terry Rankings for Recommender Systems Across Dataset Taxonomies

The ranking of recommendation algorithms is a challenging problem since model performance is sensitive to dataset characteristics such as sparsity, sequential structure, and scale. This drives a demand for a proper methodology for fair comparison between algorithms. Naive aggregation of performance metrics (e.g., averaging NDCG over benchmarks) can yield misleading rankings, undermining practical selection. To address this problem, we introduce a novel, data-driven ranking methodology based on Bradley-Terry (BT) model. We demonstrate that the obtained ranking depends on key dataset statistics...

·

Twelve quick tips for designing AI-driven HPC workflows

High-performance computing (HPC) clusters remain the backbone of large-scale scientific computation, traditionally executing deterministic, linear pipelines optimised for predictable performance. However, the pervasive integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and foundation models into scientific research has introduced a fundamentally new computational paradigm. AI-driven workflows are characteristically iterative, data-driven, and probabilistic, introducing unique challenges regarding data gravity, heterogeneous resource management, and complex workflow orchestration. This guide provides...

·

How AI Agents Reshape Knowledge Work: Autonomy, Efficiency, and Scope

Frontier AI systems are bridging the gap between intelligence and utility by shifting from conversational assistants to autonomous agents that execute tasks end to end. Using production data from Perplexity's Search and Computer products, we study this transition by examining how AI agents accelerate and reshape knowledge work. Three key empirical findings emerge. First, using sessions with near-identical initial query pairs as natural experiments for the same underlying task attempted with both products, Computer performs 26 minutes of autonomous work per user session, versus 33 seconds for ...

·

CoMetaPNS: Continually Meta-learning Personalized Neural Surrogates for Cardiac Electrophysiology Simulations

Personalized virtual heart simulations face challenges in model personalization and computational cost. While neural surrogates offer state-of-the-art solutions, they typically address either efficient personalization or training generalizable models. Recent work reframes this by learning the process of personalizing a surrogate using limited subject-specific context data, through few-shot generative modeling with set-conditioned surrogates and meta-learned amortized inference. These methods, however, assume a static and diverse training distribution with known task identifiers. When new data...

·

Network Recovery from Cascade Data: A Debiased Jacobian-Based Machine Learning Approach

Many important outcomes unfold as dynamic cascades, including product adoption, disease spread, financial distress, and information diffusion. A central challenge is to recover the hidden influence network behind these cascades. Existing methods typically assume a specific diffusion model, and their performance degrades substantially when that assumption is misspecified. We propose CascadeNet, a Jacobian-based machine learning framework for network recovery that does not require specifying a diffusion mechanism. The key idea is that the underlying influence structure can be characterized by t...

·

Drifting Models for Surrogate Flow Modeling

While Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) provides high-fidelity flow fields for optimizing indoor environments, its computational cost limits rapid exploration. To solve this problem generative surrogates offer better distribution modeling than deterministic networks, but iterative sampling is slow. To enable high-quality, single-pass generation, we adapt the novel generative drifting framework to fluid mechanics. We introduce a conditional architecture that performs drifting in a learned VAE latent space and uses label-aware masking to align generated samples with their boundary conditions. ...

·

Supervision versus Demonstration-Based In-Context Learning for Multiword Expression Classification

Turkish idiomatic light verb constructions (LVCs) are challenging for multiword expression processing because they often share the same surface form as fully literal verb-object combinations while functioning as a single, partially idiomatic predicate. We frame Turkish LVC detection as a binary classification task (literal meaning vs. idiomatic meaning) and evaluate on a manually created controlled set (N=147) with matched negatives: out-of-domain random sentences and in-domain literal controls (NLVC), alongside LVC positives. We compare a supervised Turkish encoder baseline (BERTurk with a c...

·

Unsupervised Continual Clustering via Forward-Backward Knowledge Distillation

Unsupervised Continual Learning (UCL) aims to enable neural networks to learn sequential tasks without labels or access to past data. A major challenge in this setting is Catastrophic Forgetting, where models forget previously learned tasks upon learning new ones. This challenge is amplified in UCL due to the absence of labels to guide learning and memory retention. Existing mitigation strategies, such as knowledge distillation and replay buffers, often raise memory and privacy concerns. Moreover, current UCL methods largely overlook clustering-specific objectives. To fill this gap, we introd...

·

Graph Neural Network leveraging Higher-order Class Label Connectivity for Heterophilous Graphs

Node classification in graph neural networks (GNNs) has been widely applied in various fields of graph analysis. GNNs achieve high-accuracy node classification in homophilous graphs, where nodes with the same class label tend to be connected. However, their performance remains limited in heterophilous graphs, where nodes with different class labels are more likely to be connected. In particular, current GNNs derived from graph convolutional networks cannot capture higher-order class label connectivity, which is frequently observed in real-world heterophilous graphs. To address this issue, we ...

·

Whisper Hallucination Detection and Mitigation via Hidden Representation Steering and Sparse AutoEncoders

Whisper, a widely adopted ASR model, is known to suffer from hallucinations - coherent transcriptions generated for non-speech audio entirely disconnected from the input. We investigate whether hallucinations can be detected and mitigated through Whisper's internal representations. We extract audio encoder activations and evaluate two representation spaces: raw Whisper activations and Sparse AutoEncoder (SAE) latents. We show that both spaces encode linearly separable hallucination-related information, with discriminative power concentrated in a sparse feature subset and increasing toward dee...

·

Planning-aligned Token Compression for Long-Context Autonomous Driving

Monolithic vision-action models represent an emerging paradigm in autonomous driving. However, this architecture produces token sequences that quickly exceed real-time computational budgets when encoding extended temporal context for complex interactions. While approaches like linear transformers and external memory try to make the context lightweight, token compression is most compatible with the architecture as it requires no backbone modifications. Yet existing compression adopts rule-based heuristics like temporal decay, decoupled from planning, risking loss of decision-critical informati...

·

Amortized Neural Optimization for Pre-Layout Signal Integrity Design Space Exploration using Differentiable Surrogates

Pre-layout design space exploration (DSE) for high-speed signal integrity (SI) analysis is often limited by the computational cost of simulations and iterative optimization algorithms within modern electronic design automation (EDA) workflows. While machine learning surrogate models accelerate the simulation step, optimizing designs still requires utilizing iterative black-box search methods. This iterative nature scales poorly, making multi-corner sweeps computationally expensive. As a solution, this paper proposes amortized neural optimization (ANO) for pre-layout SI design. ANO entirely el...

·

Act As a Real Researcher: A Suite of Benchmarks Evaluating Frontier LLMs and Agentic Harnesses in Research Lifecycle

As foundation models advance and agent scaffolding becomes increasingly sophisticated, agents have demonstrated remarkable proficiency in complex, long-horizon coding tasks and even autonomous experiment execution. Despite their evolution from research assistants into autonomous research agents, these systems still exhibit significant limitations in field sensitivity, research ethics, and nuanced scientific judgment. Consequently, frontier agents remain unable to fully replace human researchers. To bridge this gap, we conceptualize the AARR (Act As a Real Researcher) benchmark series. Unlike ...

·

Time series Foundation Models based on Physics-Informed Synthetic Histories for Cold-Start Photovoltaic Forecasting

At commissioning time, Photovoltaic (PV) operators must forecast production before target-site observations are available, limiting the direct use of standard supervised forecasters. This cold-start setting is addressed with a zero-shot pipeline that generates a synthetic production history from plant metadata and meteorological covariates, enabling time-series foundation models (TSFMs) to forecast through inference-time conditioning. Five TSFMs are benchmarked against classical baselines under strict Cold-Start Baseline, Real Feedback, and Self-Forecast Feedback strategies. The evaluation sp...

·

PaperFlow: Profiling, Recommending, and Adapting Across Daily Paper Streams

Scientific paper recommendation is typically evaluated as static ranking over a fixed candidate set, yet real scientific reading unfolds as a daily, longitudinal process in which interests shift and feedback accumulates. We introduce PaperFlow, a framework that organizes it into three coupled stages: Profiling, which constructs and maintains a structured, inspectable scholarly profile from heterogeneous cold-start evidence; Recommending, which ranks each date-specific paper stream through multi-signal aggregation under a fixed display budget; and Adapting, which updates user state from semant...

·

2026.23: Power Shifts

The best Stratechery content from the week of June 1, 2026, including Google and Microsoft, YouTubers taking over Hollywood, and a guide to the NBA Finals.

·

TEVI: Text-Conditioned Editing of Visual Representations via Sparse Autoencoders for Improved Vision-Language Alignment

Vision-language models such as CLIP are highly useful for diverse tasks due to their shared image-text embedding space. Despite this, the image and text embeddings are often poorly aligned, affecting downstream performance. Recent work has shown that this can be attributed to an information imbalance: images contain more information than their captions describe. In this work, we propose TEVI, a framework that uses captions as a signal for what to retain from image embeddings. Specifically, we use sparse autoencoders to disentangle image embeddings and train a masking module to selectively rec...

·

This is your laptop… on AI

We're now deep into developer conference season, and one of the themes so far is the relentless conviction from Big Tech companies that AI is going to change everything about how we do everything. Nvidia's Jensen Huang made that clearer than anyone this week, when he described a completely new way of using our laptops - and a completely new kind of laptop made to support it. It's all very interesting, but it raises the same question we have around so many AI products: Does anyone actually want this? On this episode of The Vergecast, Nilay and David run through a lot of the products coming out...

·
30 stories